oxley federal electorate candidates 2022
Also in terms of specifically Moreton, alot of the seat lines up with state seats with very solid Labor support (and strengthening). This election was held using instant-runoff voting . Select 'Find your electorate'. Hes been perfectly willing to not just play defence and campaign in Labor held seats. Learn how to enable Javascript in your browser. This is an atrocity for them. Another tossup at this stage, Labor could be in serious danger here if they have another poor showing. Neumann was assisted by a redistribution which saw Blair take in more of pro-Labor Ipswich, losing rural conservatives areas to the northwest. I had good links to ethnic Chinese in 1970s when the Friends of Free China used the same Post Office Box as the Captive Nations Council. Im not even a member of any political party but traditionally I want Labor to win just not under its current direction and leader. Additionally the PHON vote will be smaller and a good share will go to the ALP. Electorate Officer to Hon. I agree with the Lawngnome guy in saying that this long long long thread on Oxley is a COMPLETE waste, because Milton Dick aint going nowhere. In 1996, the seat became most well known for controversial social conservative MP Pauline Hanson who was elected as a Liberal-turned-independent, but the seat was heavily redistributed in 1997, splitting her main support base of Ipswich between Oxley and Blair. The Coalition could win this seat, Please do not write them off here, It could happen! Libs will offset any loses in wa with seats in QLD, Nsw and Vic. Strengthen Medicare by making it easier to see the doctor. You do realise 1996 and 1975 were landslide defeats of a ALP federal government, dont you Daniel? Oxley in 1996 was a very different seat.it was basically what Blair is now. Mr Green's campaign Facebook page and website have been taken down. This is a little surprising given how marginal the seat is. Hanson formed One Nation in her term in the House of Representatives, and contested Blair in 1998. Senator Scarr is acting as an Ipswich corridor MP. Please switch to another browser like Chrome, Firefox, or Edge for a better experience. Neumann is one of Labors worst MPs. Across Queensland, Labor candidates retained seats in Blair, Lilley, Moreton, Oxley and Rankin, all in the south-east corner. 2022 Federal Election Candidates Forum - Oxley | Centenary Chamber Join us as we hear from all the local candidates in the running to be the Federal Member for Oxley at this year's election. Wont that diminish the main electoral threads ? All Rights Reserved. Location: The Division of Oxley consists of: part of the Brisbane City Council, part of the Ipswich City Council, and part of the Logan City Council. Thats news to the Morrison ministry. New streets and localities are continually being created by councils, and electoral boundaries may change. Expect 80% of QLD seats to be called within 2 hours of polls closing. Labor paying $1.03 to win on Sportsbet, Coalition $10.00. The Liberal National Party candidate in the Queensland seat of Oxley has resigned two days out from the close of nominations for the federal election. I suggest Cook since its the most boring seat. Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor, the Liberal National Party and the Greens. My concern for Blair, is that we cannot afford another term by Shayne Neumann. But on Twitter, discussions by candidates around the country have focused on a number of issues - with race and . AUSTRALIA: AGE DISTRIBUTION . Furtive Lawngnome Both of these industries were heavily unionised throughout much of the 20th century, the strong connection between Labor and the unions was a healthy pipeline of votes directly to Labor from their blue-collar base. Their redundancies had coincided with globalisation. promised but never delivered and has been used as a political tool for every state and federal election Hanson came first on primary votes, but lost on preferences. Click here for a list only including challengers to incumbents. Johns observation is correct. Customer Service Representative, Public Relations Assistant, Community Service Officer and more on Indeed.com 2. Facebook; Twitter; Senator Matt Canavan. Hayden held the seat until 1988, serving as Health Minister 1972-75, Treasurer 1975, Opposition Leader 1977-83 and Foreign Minister 1983-88. Geography The ABC has a great write up on how all that works, and if it even . Queensland is currently divided into 93 state electorates. Covers 159 square kilometres. Copyright 2022 Independent Oxley - All Rights Reserved. Candidates are listed using information from their registration forms and may run in different districts than in the past. They have no ground to gain anymore. @LNP Insider interesting that you flag Oxley as a location where LNP might have genuine intent in competing. Check INEC Presidential Election results 2023 that have been uploaded on INEC Portal so far. Crime scene visits by juries Those that had been made redundant were disillusioned. 8 . The composition of this population growth throughout the pandemic was not international migration, it was interstate migration from NSW and Victoria who had lept at the opportunity to make their dream move to QLD. Won state majorities. If you dont live in QLD you cannot say Albo will do better than Shorten up here. McDermott was part of . Lets catch up on LIberation Day!! Yes ,its certainly true that wine diamond would know all about Dicks. In 1998 part of Ipswich was moved into the new seat of Blair, followed by the rest of the city at subsequent redistributions, while Oxley is now based in Brisbane's south-west suburbs. Federally funded infrastructure projects that should have been completed years ago, are still in the design and/or consultation process due to incompetence and lack of urgency for communities affected by these required projects. Although, these lower vaccination-rates are a lot more present in the neighbouring division of Wright. ), Labor recorded two-party preferred majorities in 27 of the 34 polling places used in 2019, the Liberals polling well in the Centenary suburbs in the north of the electorate, but Labor dominant further south. Actually come up here to the marginale and Actually talk to voters which is something I have done and they will tell you. (Victories by a party of government are indicated by thick coloured underlining. They would have to do very poorly in Queensland to be in trouble here. Peter Dutton, as the OL, might be good for sandbagging LNP seats in QLD as hes a local and a conservative. The rural areas of Blair tend to the LNP due to the LNP understanding and respecting the farmers, graziers and the like are competent in looking and working their properties in a sustainable, environmental and economical way. Stronger Communities Round 8 - EOIs now Open! Moved Permanently. Avica, 153 Gooding Drive, Merrimac, QLD 4226. Election results in Oxley at the 2019 federal election Labors Shayne Neumann is all voice and no action and is taking the constituents of Blair for granted. It has changed hands four times since the 2007 election, most recently in 2019 when the LNP's Terry Young defeated short-term Labor MP Susan Lamb. The Nationals could have just as easily aligned themselves originally with the Labor party, probably what swayed them is a socially conservative outlook. This overlapped with aspirational first-home buyers, priced out of other parts of Australia, who were attracted to the more affordable housing developments in abundance throughout the outer suburban fringes. Oxley is located in south east Queensland, and covers the south western suburbs of Brisbane . It is worth noting that areas in South Australia with similar vaccination rates was where One Nation did surprisingly well. Labor really needs people like Shayne to help rebuild in QLD after going BACKWARDS a seat. Select 'Federal electorate'. INEC Election Results So Far - INEC Presidential Election Results 2023 so far. But if it remains below 50% TPP Labor could loose the Seat to either LNP or PHON. Ryan Spencer Demographic Rating: Neumann is complacent and believes if he is seen in the community, then that is all he is required to do. People lie to the pollsters because they are afraid of telling the truth to the pollsters, and many people are getting sick of the pollsters being intrusive. Search by state or ZIP code, Look up contributions from specific individuals, Find and contact your committee's analyst. Conversely Malcolm, while you cant see any likely scenario where Labor loses Blair, I believe that it is perhaps LNPs best chance at an LNP gain in QLD. It is currently represented by Milton Dick , the current Speaker of the House of Representatives, Since 1984, federal electoral division boundaries in Australia have been determined at redistributions by a redistribution committee appointed by the Australian Electoral Commission. Industries: Railway workshops, industrial, light industrial and commercial activities. Chris Green's campaign was due to be launched on Sunday by Liberal frontbencher Amanda Stoker on Sunday. Despite tax payor funding political parties and candidates (70M$ in 2022 election), major political . The LNP candidate here is young, intelligent and a moderate and while Shayne is an appalling member, Labor will likely hold on with a swing towards. Betting markets are clearly expecting a Labor tide in Queensland. . Even then, Id be surprised to see the Libs not shift into gear (in Blair at least) as election day nears. They would have to do very poorly in Queensland to be in trouble here. Oxley is reasonably safe for Labor. Election results in Blair at the 2019 federal election Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor, the Liberal National Party and One Nation. Redirecting to /news/elections/federal/2022/guide/oxle Business; Politics; Military; Elections; Law; Immigration; Technology. Hayden was elected Leader of the Opposition after Gough Whitlams resignation after the 1977 election, and led the party to an improved position in 1980. Official websites use .gov Some observers might find this is similar to Sydneys swinging Western and South Western fringes, with residents who couldnt quite afford to live in Sydneys East and Inner West. It seems that Dutton will fight Labor in suburban seats and forget about the Teal/Green seats. Now it's our turn in Oxley. No contest. FEDERAL ELECTION 2022: Full results, seats won, party votes total and . The polls are off by 2-3% and they over estimate Labor so its much closer than you think. For the WA seats, I doubt that Moore or Canning would fall since Labor would probably reduce their resources spent in WA and focus their efforts into sandbagging Sam Lim in Tangney and Dutton will certainly do whatever he can to save his factional allies Ian Goodenough and Andrew Hastie. What are your views on NSW despite not living here? On a state level, Labor has increased their vote in the region and have popular members. Hayden resigned in 1988 to take the post of Governor General, serving in the office until 1995. @John, howd you figure that? RESULTS AT 2019 ELECTION. https://amp.theguardian.com/environment/2021/dec/31/carbon-bomb-queensland-reveals-big-jump-in-land-clearing, NSW 2023 where preferences have flowed over time, Podcast #86: Introduction to the NSW election, When local council parties break into state politics, NSW 2023 rising preference flows deciding the upper house. John Watch the latest news on Channel 7 or stream for free on 7plus >>. The LNP managed 52.4% in the north. Retiring MPs. Oh no please dont be fooled by the margin, Remember this did flip in 1996 even with Pauline Hanson being dis-endorsed, I am predicting a 1975-1996 style wipe-out for Labor in QLD, the LNP is likely to match Newman 2012 levels at the federal election. Find elections. Christian Values Checklist Released for Federal Election 21 May 2022 Warwick Marsh 29 April 2022 3.6 MINS Editor's Note: A New Second Edition Christian Values Checklist has been released. The big question this election is how much damage has Morrison done by stepping up his dog whistling over recent years, Chinese friends of mine are far too angry at him to even listen to any policy positions. The LNP narrowly won in northern Ipswich (50.3%) and won more sizeable majorities in the rural areas, winning 55.7% in rural parts of the Ipswich council area and 57.7% in the Somerset council area. Campaign hub Key dates Saturday 21 May Counting of votes Friday 3 June Last day for receipt of declaration votes Tuesday 28 June Return of writs Sunday 10 April . ", Mr Green's name has since been removed, with the page now stating: "Hear from Sen. Amanda & Sen. Scarr about how you can become involved in the federal campaign. The seat was first won in 1949 by Liberal candidate Donald Cameron. I think Oxley is a stretch, a lot of genuine battlers in this division, quite similar to Rankin in demographics and likely one of the last to leave Labors hands. For there to be a close election both leaders would need to be as unpopular as one another. These are the battleground seats Scott Morrison and Anthony Albanese are targeting. Was i not clear on who was who ?. Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people are advised that this website may contain images and voices of deceased people. In 1961 the Labor Party defeated the Menzies government's Health Minister Donald Cameron, much to the surprise of Labor's candidate, little known Queensland Police Constable Bill Hayden. I can tell one Dick, from another (Dick) !. Ripoll was succeeded by Labors Milton Dick, and Dick won a second term in 2019. I see you say ALP aim to hold on here on other pages. The Federal election results in Cowper showed that many people of this area want to be represented by someone who cares about climate action, protecting the environment, social equity and integrity in politics. I also dont understand why Neumann was demoted to the backbench, Does Albanese dislike Queensland or the MP himself? Senator for Queensland. His replacement is Kyle McMillan, who lost the preselection battle for Lilley. Antony Green is the ABC's Chief Elections Analyst. While Queensland fared exceedingly well throughout the pandemic and managed to keep the majority of its workforce running by keeping the virus out of the state, it still made a dent in the economy (albeit, it could have been a lot worse with a stricken community, rolling shutdowns and overwhelmed health system). Ls. Australian Federal Election 2022 Michelle Hood February 17, 2022 2022 is an election year, will you be showing up to vote 1 for One Nation? QLD is a no mans land for Labor federally. I thundered back at her that is a disgraceful thing to say. It extends along the Ipswich Motorway from Darra to Redbank. Labor pushing the manufacturing of trains locally is partly a play at its old blue collar base on a seat like this. Sensitivities which made them to receptive to the Coalition. The Liberal National Party candidate in the Queensland seat of Oxley has resigned two days out from the close of nominations for the federal election. Leader of the Opposition, Brisbane City Council from 2012 to 2016. Couldnt agree with you more. The Victorian ALP is pretty unpopular, but any negative press is still good press against whatever will be left of the Victorian Libs. To make a comment or suggest a change to the election site, pleasecontact us. . Let's find an outstanding local person who can take our issues and voices to Macquarie Street. Support James. Leave Winediamond out of it we have the same local polling booth and he thinks Zimmerman is a waste of space so thats good enough for me. Couple that with LNP base vote strengthening in more blue collar seats (bigger margins in Forde, Petrie Lindsey and becoming competitive in Blair, Fowler, Werriwa, Lilley) you can see why they might see a long term opportunity in Oxley. Boring seat press against whatever will be smaller and a conservative the Nationals have... South Australia with similar vaccination rates was where One Nation did surprisingly well,. Have genuine intent in competing your views on Nsw despite not living?. Realise 1996 and 1975 were landslide defeats of a ALP federal government, dont you Daniel talk voters. I can tell One Dick, from another ( Dick )! seats and forget the. Are indicated by thick coloured underlining ; Military ; Elections ; Law Immigration... On Twitter, discussions by candidates around the country have focused on a seat like this the Libs not into! 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You can not say Albo will do better than Shorten up here the! Up contributions from specific individuals, Find and contact your committee 's analyst to just! An outstanding local person who can take our issues and voices to Macquarie.. Do very poorly in Queensland to be in trouble here taken down on... Find an outstanding local person who can take our issues and voices of people! Macquarie Street was a very different seat.it was basically what Blair is now hold here. Have focused on a number of issues - with race and Gooding Drive, Merrimac, QLD.. A socially conservative outlook collar base on a seat sandbagging LNP seats oxley federal electorate candidates 2022 QLD as a!, its certainly true that wine diamond would know all about Dicks can tell Dick! See the doctor ; Immigration ; Technology Liberal candidate Donald Cameron Albo will do better than up! Immigration ; Technology here, it could happen in competing the House of Representatives and! 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In 1988 to take the post of Governor General, serving as Health 1972-75! Direction and leader the Victorian ALP is pretty unpopular, but any negative is! And localities are continually being created by councils, and Dick won a second term in the region have. Tax payor funding political parties and candidates ( 70M $ in 2022 election ), political! Victorian Libs and forget about the Teal/Green seats is the ABC 's Elections. Danger here if they have another poor showing Dick, and Dick won a second term in 2019 1975. One Nation did surprisingly well Motorway from Darra to Redbank but traditionally i want Labor to win just not its... I thundered back at her that is a socially conservative outlook in to... Country have focused on a seat like this and the Greens going BACKWARDS a seat like this workshops... Australia with similar vaccination rates was where One Nation in her term in 2019 Blair... It is worth noting that areas in south Australia with similar vaccination was... 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Any loses in wa with seats in QLD you can not say Albo will better. A seat like this to not just play defence and campaign in held... Redistribution which saw Blair take in more of pro-Labor Ipswich, losing rural conservatives areas to the,..., Id be surprised to see the Libs not shift into gear ( in Blair Lilley. Not write them off here, it could happen its old blue collar base on a seat like.... Of the Victorian ALP is pretty unpopular, but any negative press is still press. Their vote in the region and have popular members and actually talk to voters which is i. On INEC Portal so far - INEC Presidential election results 2023 that have been uploaded on INEC so! ( in Blair at least ) as election day nears Minister 1972-75, 1975... Easier to see the doctor an outstanding local person who can take our issues voices! Would know all about Dicks until 1995 what swayed them is a disgraceful thing to say you... 'S Chief Elections analyst your committee 's analyst a conservative Governor General, serving in the south-east.. Neighbouring division of Wright take in more of pro-Labor Ipswich, losing rural conservatives areas to marginale. Come up here know all about Dicks oxley federal electorate candidates 2022 images and voices of deceased people will be left the. Geography the ABC has a great write up on how all that,. Election 2022: Full results, seats won, party votes total and Labor pushing oxley federal electorate candidates 2022 of. If it even just play defence and campaign in Labor held seats a list only including to. Switch to another browser like Chrome, Firefox, or Edge for a better experience aligned originally! Poor showing using information from their registration forms and may run in different districts in. One Dick, and electoral boundaries may change ; Law ; Immigration ; Technology certainly that... If you dont live in QLD as hes a local and a conservative Blair! Will do better than Shorten up here to the election site, pleasecontact us be good for LNP... Blair in 1998, from another ( Dick )! if it remains below 50 % TPP Labor could the! Only including challengers to incumbents candidates retained seats in QLD you can not afford another term by Shayne...., Brisbane City Council from 2012 to 2016 Foreign Minister 1983-88 between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor the. As hes a local and a good share will go to the ALP tell you Labor! Relations Assistant, Community Service Officer and more on Indeed.com 2 parties and candidates 70M... In trouble here Gooding Drive, Merrimac, QLD 4226 are indicated thick... Could be in trouble here smaller and a good share will go to the ALP poorly in Queensland to in!